평경장 먹튀|사설토토|먹튀검증|토토사이트

How we fool ourselves

평경장 먹튀|먹튀사이트|토토|홀짝사이트

by Judith Curry

Crowd sourcing examples of fallacious thinking from climate science.

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평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|토토|홀짝사이트

Politics discussion thread II

평경장 먹튀|배트맨토토|메이저놀이터|검증사이트

by Judith Curry

Looks like we need a new thread on this.

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평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증사이트|배트맨토토|메이저사이트 평경장 먹튀|사설토토|안전놀이터|사다리사이트
평경장 먹튀|안전공원|먹튀폴리스|메이저사이트

Herd immunity to COVID-19 and pre-existing immune responses

평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|토토사이트|먹튀사이트

By Nic Lewis

I showed in my May 10th article Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and in the social-connectivity related infectivity of individuals would reduce, in my view probably very substantially, the herd immunity threshold (HIT), beyond which an epidemic goes into retreat. Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|홀짝사이트|사다리사이트 평경장 먹튀|안전놀이터|먹튀폴리스|검증사이트
평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|메이저놀이터|메이저놀이터

Week in review – science edition

평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|홀짝사이트|먹튀사이트

by Judith Curry

A few things that have caught my eye this past 12(!) weeks.

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평경장 먹튀|먹튀폴리스|토토|스포츠토토 평경장 먹튀|안전공원|토토사이트|메이저놀이터
평경장 먹튀|안전놀이터|안전공원|안전공원

FIRE

평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|검증사이트|토토사이트

by Judith Curry

Subtitle: our failure to live in harmony with nature.

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평경장 먹튀|토토|사다리사이트|먹튀검증 평경장 먹튀|사설놀이터|먹튀사이트|안전놀이터
평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|홀짝사이트|먹튀검증

COVID-19: evidence shows that transmission by schoolchildren is low

평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|안전놀이터|토토사이트

By Nic Lewis

Much fuss has been made in the UK, not least by teachers’ unions, about recommencing physical school attendance. As this issue applies to many countries, I thought it worth highlighting research findings in Europe. Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|홀짝사이트|사설토토 평경장 먹튀|토토사이트|안전놀이터|배트맨토토
평경장 먹튀|사설토토|토토사이트|먹튀폴리스

Part of the heat is coming from beneath our feet.

평경장 먹튀|파워볼사이트|토토|토토사이트

by Judith Curry

A thought-provoking article  from my new favorite blog, The Ethical Skeptic.

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평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|배트맨토토|스포츠토토 평경장 먹튀|사설놀이터|먹튀검증|토토
평경장 먹튀|토토|검증사이트|안전공원

Politics discussion thread

평경장 먹튀|파워볼사이트|파워볼사이트|사설놀이터

by Judith Curry

It’s time for a politics thread, to deflect the political comments that are sneaking into the technical threads.

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평경장 먹튀|파워볼사이트|먹튀검증사이트|먹튀폴리스

New confirmation that climate models overstate atmospheric warming

평경장 먹튀|사설토토|안전놀이터|배트맨토토

by Ross McKitrick

Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better.

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평경장 먹튀|안전놀이터|사설토토|토토

New paper suggests historical period estimates of climate sensitivity are not biased low by unusual variability in sea surface temperature patterns

평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|사설놀이터|사다리사이트

By Nic Lewis

An important new paper by Thorsten Mauritsen, Associate Professor at Stockholm University[i] and myself has just been accepted for publication (Lewis and Mauritsen 2020)[ii]. Its abstract reads: Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|먹튀폴리스|메이저사이트|사설놀이터 평경장 먹튀|배트맨토토|토토|파워볼사이트
평경장 먹튀|안전놀이터|먹튀검증사이트|먹튀사이트

Emergent constraints on TCR and ECS from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

평경장 먹튀|사설토토|토토|토토사이트

By Nic Lewis

This is a brief comment on a new paper[i] by a mathematician in the Exeter Climate Systems group, Femke Nijsse, and two better known colleagues, Peter Cox and Mark Williamson. I note that Earth Systems Dynamics published the paper despite one of the two peer reviewers recommending against acceptance without further major revisions. But neither of the reviewers appear to have raised the issue that I focus on here. Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|배트맨토토|먹튀검증|먹튀폴리스 평경장 먹튀|안전공원|토토사이트|스포츠토토
평경장 먹튀|안전공원|메이저사이트|안전공원

Cancel culture discussion thread II

평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|메이저놀이터|스포츠토토

by Judith Curry

Some additional articles and events to discuss.

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평경장 먹튀|토토|먹튀검증|안전놀이터 평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증|토토사이트|홀짝사이트
평경장 먹튀|사설놀이터|메이저사이트|토토사이트

Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought – update

평경장 먹튀|사설토토|사다리사이트|메이저놀이터

By Nic Lewis

I showed in my May 10th article Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and in the social-connectivity related infectivity of individuals would reduce, in my view probably very substantially, the herd immunity threshold (HIT), beyond which an epidemic goes into retreat. I opined, based on my modelling, that the HIT probably lay somewhere between 7% and 24%, and that evidence from Stockholm County suggested it was around 17% there, and had been reached. Mounting evidence supports my reasoning.[1]

I particularly want to highlight an important paper published on July 24th “Herd immunity thresholds estimated from unfolding epidemics” (Aguas et al.).[2] The author team is much the same as that of the earlier theoretical paper (Gomes et al.[3]) that prompted my May 10th article. Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|안전공원|사설토토|토토 평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|사설토토|먹튀폴리스
평경장 먹튀|메이저놀이터|사설토토|홀짝사이트

Apocalypse Never and False Alarm

평경장 먹튀|토토사이트|먹튀검증|사설놀이터

by Judith Curry

Two important new books to discuss.

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평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|사설놀이터|메이저사이트 평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|먹튀검증사이트|먹튀검증
평경장 먹튀|배트맨토토|먹튀사이트|먹튀검증사이트

Cancel culture discussion thread

평경장 먹튀|토토|메이저놀이터|사설놀이터

by Judith Curry

A change of topic.

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평경장 먹튀|배트맨토토|토토사이트|먹튀검증사이트

Covid discussion thread: Part X

평경장 먹튀|토토|안전놀이터|먹튀사이트

by Judith Curry

Latest roundup of interesting articles.  I’m running out of steam on this topic, here are some random articles I’ve flagged over the last few weeks.

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평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|메이저놀이터|토토 평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|배트맨토토|메이저사이트
평경장 먹튀|토토|먹튀사이트|먹튀검증

The progress of the COVID-19 epidemic in Sweden: an analysis

평경장 먹튀|파워볼사이트|토토사이트|안전놀이터

By Nic Lewis

The course of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden is of great interest, as it is one of very few advanced nations where no lockdown order that heavily restricted people’s movements and other basic freedoms was imposed. As there has been much comment, some of it ill-informed, on how the COVID-19 epidemic has developed in Sweden, but relatively little detailed analysis published in English, it is worth exploring what their excellent publicly-available data reveal. Continue reading

평경장 먹튀|토토|토토|토토 평경장 먹튀|토토사이트|토토사이트|배트맨토토
평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증|안전공원|토토

Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part II

평경장 먹튀|메이저놀이터|먹튀폴리스|검증사이트

by Roland Hirsch

New technologies in mass spectrometry are advancing research in climate science

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평경장 먹튀|파워볼사이트|스포츠토토|안전공원 평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|안전놀이터|토토
평경장 먹튀|사다리사이트|홀짝사이트|배트맨토토

Week in review – science edition

평경장 먹튀|안전공원|검증사이트|먹튀폴리스

by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.

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평경장 먹튀|안전놀이터|안전공원|파워볼사이트 평경장 먹튀|토토사이트|파워볼사이트|스포츠토토
평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|사설토토|토토사이트

Did lockdowns really save 3 million COVID-19 deaths, as Flaxman et al. claim?

평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|파워볼사이트|먹튀검증사이트

By Nic Lewis

Key points about the recent Nature paper by Flaxman and other Imperial College modellers

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평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|사설놀이터|홀짝사이트 평경장 먹튀|검증사이트|메이저사이트|스포츠토토
평경장 먹튀|먹튀폴리스|홀짝사이트|먹튀폴리스

Structural errors in global climate models

평경장 먹튀|검증사이트|스포츠토토|먹튀검증사이트

by Gerald Browning

Climate model sensitivity to CO2 is heavily dependent on artificial parameterizations (e.g. clouds, convection) that are implemented in global climate models that utilize  the wrong atmospheric dynamical system and excessive dissipation.

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평경장 먹튀|메이저놀이터|메이저놀이터|사설토토 평경장 먹튀|안전공원|토토|배트맨토토
평경장 먹튀|먹튀폴리스|먹튀검증사이트|사설놀이터

Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part I: Determining past climates

평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증|사설놀이터|파워볼사이트

by Roland Hirsch

Mass spectrometry is essential for research in climate science.

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평경장 먹튀|사설놀이터|메이저놀이터|먹튀검증 평경장 먹튀|안전공원|홀짝사이트|토토사이트
평경장 먹튀|홀짝사이트|메이저사이트|메이저사이트

Covid discussion thread: Part IX

평경장 먹튀|토토|파워볼사이트|사설토토

by Judith Curry

Some interesting articles that I’ve spotted recently.

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평경장 먹튀|스포츠토토|스포츠토토|배트맨토토 평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증사이트|홀짝사이트|먹튀검증
평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|검증사이트|토토사이트

Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans

평경장 먹튀|먹튀검증사이트|검증사이트|안전놀이터

by Judith Curry

Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.

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평경장 먹튀|안전공원|배트맨토토|안전공원 평경장 먹튀|먹튀사이트|사설토토|메이저놀이터
평경장 먹튀|메이저놀이터|안전놀이터|사설놀이터

Covid discussion thread: Part VIII

평경장 먹튀|먹튀폴리스|사설놀이터|배트맨토토

by Judith Curry

Interesting papers that I’ve recently spotted

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평경장 먹튀|검증사이트|검증사이트|먹튀검증 평경장 먹튀|메이저사이트|사설토토|파워볼사이트
평경장 먹튀|안전공원|사설토토|사설토토 평경장 먹튀|사설토토|안전놀이터|토토사이트